Wednesday, January 26

Some of the political events that will dominate the headlines in 2022

Last year started off hopeful with the emergence of the Covid-19 vaccines, but it quickly proved to be a challenging year for governments and communities around the world.

Even in the midst of the pandemic, 2022 will bring a series of major political issues and events that will affect communities, both locally and globally.

These are some of the major events that will dominate the news cycles this year.

Charting the global economy

The world economy will be fragile as central banks scale back the programs that have stimulated economies in the past two years. Interest rates and inflation will rise, causing difficulties for those with modest or fixed incomes.

At some point, the roaring stock market may turn into a bear market, and a depression could start. If that happens, politicians will have to deal with higher unemployment rates and mounting pressure to create jobs. More protectionism and trade barriers are likely to follow.

International matters

US-China Relations It will cast a shadow over international relations and the global economy. The degree to which the two superpowers coexist and sometimes collaborate will set the tone across the globe, from climate change to economic growth to regional security.

However, the ties between the United States and China will not affect East Asia (including North Korea and Taiwan) as the entrenched interests of the United States and China do not align. A divided Korea ensures that South Korea, backed by the United States, and North Korea, backed by China, should share the peninsula. A united Korea would inevitably be dragged into the orbit of one of the superpowers, needing a response from the other.

The hot spots in international affairs will continue to be in Eastern Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, with their long-standing territorial and ideological conflict. Separatism will be alive and well in Scotland, While pressure for an ireland union it will increase in Northern Ireland.

Germany, with a new chancellor after 16 years of Angela Merkel, will continue to be a pillar of political stability in Europe and beyond. The nation’s tripartite coalition is strong and will broadly adhere to international policies that are not much different from those of the last decade.

Numerous choices

Elections in regional democratic powers, including South Korea, France, Brazil Y Australia, will give an indication of the resistance of populist movements, as these races feature protest or anti-elitist candidates competing against more traditional nominees.

Authoritarian countries, including Russia, Saudi Arabia, China and Turkey, will remain stable as the leadership of these nations does not face any major internal or external threats.

Ideological wars in the USA

In the United States, the presidency of Joe Biden will enter an even more difficult period. The midterm parliamentary elections at the end of the year are almost certain to have the Republicans retake the Senate, which could cause a stalemate in Washington for the next two years.

The ideological wars in the United States over abortion, gun control, immigration, vaccination, and much more will escalate and, in some cases, intensify.

Increasingly, the Supreme Court will be asked to rule on issues that lawmakers cannot agree on, further fueling ideological divisions.

The jostling between potential candidates, along with fundraising, will begin to the 2024 US presidential election. Rumor has it that Biden, who will turn 80 in 2022, planning to run for president again, although it will wait before confirming it publicly. The same goes for Donald Trump., who could spend 2022 preparing to become the second president to serve two non-consecutive terms (the other was Grover Cleveland nearly two centuries ago).

As Biden becomes increasingly focused on securing support for the Democratic Party, additional irritations will emerge about trade between the US and its North American neighbors. The Biden administration is expected to increasingly adopt a ‘America first’ approach in his dealings with neighbors and allies.

Canadian provincial elections

In Canada, third successive minority government in Ottawa it will function effectively because no political party yearns for other elections. Elections in Québec and Ontario in 2022 will spark increased federal-provincial conflict over a variety of policies including climate change, immigration, and healthcare.

Quebec Bill 21, ban public servants, including teachers, for wearing visible religious symbols will continue to be controversial not only in the province but across Canada, and legal challenges will increase.

Change climate change policies

The politics of climate change will rise and fall throughout the year. The more politicians are concerned with economic concerns, the less political capital will be spent on efforts related to climate change, even though these two issues are closely related.

However, steady progress will be made in many parts of the world to reduce carbon emissions and use more renewable energy. Reports of natural disasters triggered by climate change will boost the more political action throughout the year.

Global vaccination efforts

Covid-19 will not disappear now that the calendar marks 2022.

The first months will witness extensive international efforts to ensure vaccination occurs worldwide. There is hope that the tide will turn and that increasingly, albeit at varying rates in different countries, the pandemic will recede.

The vaccination and mask mandates, and the political decisions around them, will eventually fade.

However, the lesson of the pandemic – that viruses do not respect political and national borders – hopefully political leaders are learning in 2022 and beyond.The conversation

Thomas Klassen, Professor, School of Public Policy and Administration, York University, Canada

This article is republished from The conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the Original article.

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